Full breakdown is expected in Ukraine in half a year. About it as the correspondent of «Rosbalt» tells, during session of a round table the director of the International institute of transformations of a society Oleg Soskin has declared.
As he said, the state debt of Ukraine at present makes $56 billion «And it is that other, as acknowledgement of full economic crash of Ukraine. After all this debt more than gross national product volume. As well as the state, the corporate capital can’t serve this external public debt. And it means a default. In such condition it is necessary to address in the London debt club», — he is assured.
Saying about that «Ukrainians, since March, actively buy dollars and euro, dumping it is rested grivna», the expert has drawn a conclusion that «the people of Ukraine don’t believe in stability of national unit any more».
The economist considers that «in present conditions Azarov’s government should retire, as Ukraine the galloping inflation» waits. Under its forecast, Natsbank of Ukraine and ministry «without loans at least $2 mlrd in a month, can’t keep a situation». «But new credits of IMF also to take unpromising, after all to Ukraine and so there is nothing to return those $14 m,rd which were are taken earlier as IMF tranches. And if not to undertake cardinal measures, already in half a year Ukraine full breakdown» expects, — the participant of a round table is convinced.
As it was informed, despite a public debt of Ukraine (as of September, 30th, 2010) at a rate of $51,09 mlrd (404,3 mlrd UAN), IMF promises to allocate to the country on November, 30th the next tranche of the credit at a rate of $1,5 billion Besides, Ukraine intends to continue to take from Russia and other states. By calculations of the Ministry of Finance, Ukraine in 2011 will spend for service and state debt repayment 53,48 mlrd UAN, in 2012 — 47,399 mlrd UAN, in 2013 — 55,5 mlrd UAN, in 2014 — 39,3 mlrd UAN.
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