Ukraine is afraid for the future as Moscow is bursting to Crimea, confirms The Observer. In September in the Livadijsky palace where once Churchill, Roosevelt and Stalin divided Europe into influence spheres, conference has taken place in which the East Europe politicians and intellectuals participated.
«It was supposed to discuss the strategic future of Ukraine. But the question became prevailing: whether» there will be a war between Russia and Ukraine? «- correspondent Ljuk Garding informs.
In August president Medvedev in the letter has chided president Yushchenko, having accused him of the Antirussian position and having declared that the Russian side will not have with him any contacts. «Medvedev also has told that reconsiders a Russian-Ukrainian friendship treaty from 1997: it is a hint that Moscow, probably, will cease to respect frontiers of Ukraine», — the author writes. According to the edition, Moscow has given to Kiev an unambiguous signal: the following president is obliged to recognise the veto on a strategic course of Ukraine beyond Russia.
The ex-adviser of the president of Ukraine for national safety Vladimir Gorbulin last week has warned in article that Russia is going to dismember Ukraine. He considers Crimea as the flashpoint — unique area of Ukraine, where the Russian-speaking population in the majority. Last weeks the Prokremlin newspapers prophesy fast reunion of Crimea with Russia, and some Moscow restaurants have renamed a borsch into the menu from «Ukrainian» into «Little Russian», informs Garding.
Russia achieves not only Yushchenko’s changes, but also change of a trajectory of development of Ukraine, a certain Ukrainian diplomat has noticed. In its opinion, Medvedev has put the ultimatum in front of Kiev: to reconcile to the Russian domination, voluntary to refuse the introduction into the NATO and to prolong term of rent of base of the Navy in Sevastopol. «Under these conditions the new president of Ukraine will be almost that the Russian puppet, the source» has told.
Ukraine and other East Europe countries are disturbed by that the USA leave them to the mercy of fate for the sake of «reloading» of relations with Moscow. Obama is anxious by problems of Iran, Afghanistan and Iraq, and «it is not enough at whom there is an illusion that he will come to the rescue to Ukraine if Russia attacks it», — the newspaper writes. Bruxelles, from its part, has let know that Ukraine does not need to hope for reception in EU in the foreseeable future. However, Ukraine and five more former republics USSR have invited to participate in the program of partnership from EU, but a visa regime for citizens of Ukraine have not facilitated. Gorbulin believes that Europeans have privately agreed with Moscow that will cease to struggle for Ukraine. In its opinion, this transaction is comparable with «the Munich arrangement».
The attack of Russia to Ukraine is something inconceivable, considers Ljuk Garding. However on the eve of presidential election small skirmishes — both casual, and intended are possible, he results opinion of analysts. One more problem — commercial activity of the Black Sea fleet having surpluses of an infrastructure, has noticed Andrew Wilson, scientific employee European Council on Foreign Relations.
Recently Russian parliament has approved the military doctrine authorising application of army abroad for protection of national interests in the first reading, reminds the edition. «However the majority of observers considers that Putin and Medvedev will take advantage of a war cloud for easing and destabilization of Ukraine», — is told in article.
Responsibility for a difficult situation of Ukraine appreciably bears its management: the race for power between Yushchenko and Timoshenko has paralysed machinery of state and has put economy on a default side. On future elections Timoshenko, Yushchenko, Yanukovych and Jatsenjuk stand. Moscow yet has not supported any of candidates, the newspaper confirms, explaining that Yanukovych has the highest rating, but Putin gets on with Timoshenko better. «Whoever has won, the winner should solve a problem of relations with Moscow», — concludes Garding. In the opinion of the Russian management Ukraine — the integral part of Russia extremely necessary for restoration of empire.
On materials: InoPressa, The Observer