It will be very difficult to Crimean voter to be guided on forthcoming presidential election. In 82 % of voices of inhabitants of peninsula the candidate of the party of regions Victor Yanukovych will not repeat triumphal result of 2004 year.
Such opinion at session of the Crimean institute of the political analysis (BALE) «Presidential elections-2010: the sight from Crimea» was stated by political scientist Sergey Kiselyov.
As he said, five years of presidency of Victor Yushchenko are lost for Ukraine, as for the independent state, its political system and especially — economic. Now in the conditions of an economic crisis which under forecasts of the international analysts will last till 2015, considering reduction of the Ukrainian economy and financial resources, political strike will not stop after January, 17th.
«On the contrary, the aggravation of a political situation in Ukraine» is possible, — the political scientist predicts.
In its opinion, anybody from real applicants for a post of the president cannot change that condition in which there is an Ukrainian society, and, first of all, «seriously ill and terribly infectious» the Ukrainian power.
«Plus from January, 17th consists that Yushchenko will leave. The minus — that Yushchenko can remain», — has noted Kiselyov.
In connection with the appeared information on Victor Yushchenko’s possible appointment to a post of the prime minister at Victor Yanukovych’s election as the president, the political scientist has predicted continuation «the big groan over Ukraine» and searches of enemies in the past, instead of the decision of actual problems.
«Round Ukraine on periphery there are very important events which concern sphere of geopolitics and Ukraine obviously loses to the nearest neighbours, not to mention the large centres of force. One-sided orientation to EU and the NATO leads to that we have lost sight of the most nearest environment — the countries of Prichernomorsky region», — the expert has noted.
Thus Kiselyov has paid attention that last two weeks on a political arena a certain calm which is storm harbingers more likely was formed.
«Probably in the near future we will see any serious provocation, or compromising evidence emission round which there will be an intrigue of elections», — Kiselyov has assumed and has added that otherwise elections will carry «boring and intermediate character» and do not become such fatal for the country, as elections of 2004.
According to Kiselyov, for Crimea a future presidential election will not bring anything essential. First, in programs of any candidate, except for Inna Bogoslovskaja, it is told nothing about Crimea. Secondly, even that little that is told, should excite owing to the nonprofessionalism. The third — unlike the previous presidential election questions of politiko-administrative and territorially-administrative reform are not discussed at all.
«Presence as a part of Ukraine autonomies puts in front of Ukraine very serious calls». — Kiselyov is convinced.
He has underlined that today has again ripened a question on differentiation of powers between the central authorities and an autonomy, about granting of the big powers in economy, formation, culture and questions of use of languages.
«In 82 % of voices Yanukovych will not receive result of 2004 year, — Kiselyov is convinced. — people saw Party of Regions both in the power and in opposition, and I think that have drawn conclusions. The second leader of presidential race — Yulia Timoshenko — in Crimea, despite efforts, does not increase a rating. Type points Bogoslovskaja, Sergey Tigipko and Arseny Jatsenjuk who use election campaign for promotion of own political brands».
In this connection the political scientist predicts essential decrease in an appearance, an emphasis on an administrative resource and falsifications on polling districts.
«New Region — Crimea»